Introduction
The financial world is going through a revolution in the last few years. It is fast traversing from blockchain, FinTech – AI, and Cryptocurrencies, the financial world is moving faster than ever. In this report, we talk about Crypto Currencies and their Demand-Supply
What is “Cryptocurrency”? Cryptocurrency (Crypto as it is called) is a virtual currency meaning it does not have physical support like paper money. It is in digital form transferred following a peer-to-peer procedure and not via an intermediary (like Banks, government…).
Its transaction is recorded in an independent public ledger computer database called Blockchain. Decentralization or public ledger is the core concept that sets cryptocurrencies apart from traditional fiat money. No central entity -like Banks can control the system.
Cryptocurrencies are viewed and probably difficult to understand by the public at large. The hype around crypto has more to do with regards to quick profits and this as attractive massive interest.
History
In 1983, the American cryptographer David Chaum floated the idea of cryptographic electronic money called “ecash”. In 2009, the first decentralized cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, was created by Satoshi Nakamoto (pseudonymous) 2009.
Decentralized control, user anonymity, record-keeping via a blockchain/ public ledger, and built-in scarcity (only 21 million), Bitcoin is considered the first cryptocurrency.
After Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency space accelerated and other cryptocurrencies started to emerge- Namecoin, Litecoin, Peercoin. All those cryptocurrencies added some new features to the original architecture. Currently, there are more than 200 cryptocurrencies
Rise of Crypto
The factors driving the growth are the non-flexibility of distributed ledger technology and transparency along with faster transactions, no compliance in peer-to-peer payments, and cross-border remittance transfer.
Globally, the value of all outstanding cryptocurrencies is about $2.4 trillion — or more than the approx. $1.2 trillion of United States currency in circulation worldwide — from about $200 billion two years ago.
This is from an industry that was born only a dozen years ago, when the first cryptocurrency – Bitcoin was introduced.
Bitcoin Crypto Demand-Supply
The global market for Cryptocurrency is expected to experience growth and demand in the next few years in this context, we will take most leading crypto – Bitcoin and study its demand and supply
There are only 21 million Bitcoins that will be issued in the crypto’s lifetime. According to the creator Satoshi Nakamoto’s plan, in 2140, all of them will be mined. Such a limitation is a stimulus for supporters to buy a Bitcoin. The “rare equals valuable” rule applies quite well.
There is a large fluctuation in the Bitcoin price as shown in the graph
Bitcoin is showing high demand from institutional buyers who rather than investing directly in Bitcoin are buying Bitcoin ETF for ease of access and exit without buying the actual digital asset.
As per the market analyst, there are fundamental factors that are driving the demand for Bitcoin.
Some of these are geopolitical driven (not outlined here) but here we list economic reasons
- Bitcoin as a Hedge Against Negative Interest Rates: To respond to slowing economies, global central banks have begun to implement increasingly irrational monetary policy. This has ultimately culminated in negative interest rates in notable economies, like that of Japan and the E.U.
- Central Bank Money Printing: Over the past few months, there’s been a strong influx in the central bank and government Bitcoin Is Becoming a Payment System
- Bitcoin is becoming a payment system, adding to the bull case. money printing due to the recession.
In this limited supply and demand of Bitcoin, the price is rising. Bitcoin was at its all-time high price of March 13, 2021, it was $61,683.86
Risks of Crypto
There are concerns that such an unregulated peer-to-peer exchange economy cryptocurrencies may become a threat to society. It may give play to the hands of anonymous web criminals.
The cryptocurrency exchange networks have inherently lacked regulation – that has been criticized as enabling criminals who seek to evade taxes. Transactions that occur through the use and exchange of these cryptos are independent of formal banking systems and therefore can make tax evasion easier.
Another factor is its unpredictable nature. A single tweet on 3rd June’21 by Elon Musk (CEO of Tesla) caused price of Bitcoin crash by as much as 15% to slide below $50,000
Many governments fear that the lack of central control on cryptocurrencies, may the financial security. Thus, new laws on cryptocurrency regulation and taxing are being framed. In China trading in crypto currencies are banned
Other Developments
In India recently RBI has revised its decision to lift the ban which forbids the banks to facilitate cryptocurrency trading. But the onus of due diligence lies with the respective banks of these trading. Another development El Salvador proposes to make Bitcoin crypto legal tender.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrency and its use in payments have the potential of creating a more borderless and globalized economy. As revolutionary as they are, they are still bound to traditional market advantages and disadvantages. They will hold a place in investment portfolios – long term and short term. However, investors should be careful since not all supply and demand are genuine and not all cryptocurrencies are worth investing in.